It was the best of times (for model portfolios); it was the worst of times (for multi-asset funds). Model portfolios continued to see bullish net sales throughout a challenging 2023 retail investment environment, while multi-asset funds fell into net outflows.
In 2023 model portfolios posted gross sales of over £65 billion and net sales of £10.1 billion through the financial adviser channel. Multi-asset funds, meanwhile, posted gross sales of under £25 billion and net outflows of £0.4 billion via the same channel. 2023’s net sales gap of £10.5 billion between MPS and multi-asset funds represents a significant rise from the £4.6 billion gap recorded in 2022.
Hope is not lost for multi-asset funds, however. The glass half full perspective reveals that the opportunity has never been greater. If one looks at multi-asset funds and MPS as part of the same multi-asset solution universe, the pie has likely never been bigger. The two solutions accounted for an estimated 70% of the gross sales in terms of on-platform investment fund gross sales in the financial adviser channel.
The race between providers and products is not simply about broadening distribution. It is also about finding the right formula to deepen one’s share of wallet. Opportunity is after all a function of the volumes of one’s distributor relationships and the share of wallet achieved. Maximizing this function is about identifying the right firms and targeting them with the right solution. For the latter, this increasingly involves being “product wrapper agnostic.” Unsurprisingly, many of the largest multi-asset fund providers have created model programs and vice versa. Winning for many firms will thus be based on having a product shelf that uses the language of “and” as opposed to “or”.
Model portfolio providers clearly won the race in 2023. Whether this will continue remains an open question. Model providers are beginning to see the challenges of success, such as the complexities of managing models across 20+ retail platforms and multi-asset providers have been sharpening their pens. The bright side for all offerors is that gross sales for these solutions grew by 6% in 2023. And there is no reason to think that 2023’s totals cannot be topped in 2024.
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Commentary by ISS Market Intelligence
By: Benjamin Reed-Hurwitz, CFA, Associate Director, EMEA Research Leader ISS Market Intelligence